McGon’s Picks: NFL Week 11

It looks like I should pick against the Cowboys more often…

Image result for ezekiel elliott leap eagles

…cause then maybe they’ll win more games.

While I was right that the Cowboys would cover this spread, I picked against them outright for the first time this year, and to no surprise they won over the Eagles as 7.5 point dogs.

So while it was a great weekend for me as a fan, it was a tough one for my picks. I went 7-7 outright, and 5-8-1 against the spread. Here’s a look bad at the picks I made (correct pick in blue, incorrect pick in red, push in green):

Panthers and Steelers (-3.5)

Bills at Jets (-6.5)

  • Bet on this game but wasn’t able to watch. After watching the highlights, I’m happy I wasn’t watching cause I would have been questioning if I still have any credibility picking games at all

Saints at Bengals (+6)

Patriots at Titans (+6.5)

Cardinals at Chiefs (-16.5)

Redskins at Bucs (-3.5)

Lions (+7) at Bears

  • You don’t cover often when your kicker hits the upright FOUR times

Falcons at Browns (+6)

Jaguars (+3) at Colts

Chargers at Raiders (+10)

Dolphins (+12) at Packers

Seahawks (+10) at Rams

Cowboys (+7.5) at Eagles

Giants at 49ers (-3)

2018 Straight-Up: 88-58-2, 2018 vs. Spread: 68-76-4

Week 11 time.

Packers at Seahawks (-3)

  • Seahawks 27, Packers 24
  • 1-0-1 to start the week

Image result for seahawks packers

Texans (-3) at Redskins

  • Texans are hot (6-0 since 0-3 start) and coming off the bye
  • Redskins are banged up, and coming off a bad loss and an ugly win over the last 2 games
  • Road teams are 7-2-1 off the bye this season
  • Could be a sucker pick (69% on HOU as of Thursday night), but I have the Texans by a score

Image result for texans redskins

Bengals at Ravens

  • The spread to this game has not been announced yet, I’ll announce my pick from Twitter @mikejmcgon

Steelers at Jaguars (+5)

  • THIS is the last week I’m giving for Jaguars to have any of last season in them
  • Last year the Steelers lost only 4 times, and TWICE were at home to the Jaguars, including the Divisional playoffs
  • Jaguars will be motivated to continue to be the Steelers’ kryptonite and will cover at home, but the Steelers are the way better team this year and win outright

Image result for jaguars steelers

Panthers at Lions (+4.5)

  • It may feel like the Lions got crushed last week, but they lost by 12 with 4 field goals hitting the upright
  • Lions due for a better home performance, play the Panthers who got demolished in Pittsburgh
  • Public hammering Carolina (80% as of Thursday night), give me the Lions covering, but Panthers winning by a field goal

Image result for lions panthers

Cowboys (+3) at Falcons

  • It’s hard to put too much stock in a team based off of one game (especially the Cowboys), but I think Dallas can build off last week big time
  • The OLine played much better, Amari Cooper is a true threat in this offense, and that opens up the field for Zeke and for Dak to play as he has shown he’s capable of
  • You never know which Falcons team you’re gonna get, but I think they took a big step back in that loss last week
  • Cowboys win a close one

Image result for cowboys falcons

Titans at Colts (-1)

  • Could be my favorite pick of the week
  • Public loves hot Titans, but it’s easy to overlook that the Colts have won 3 in a row
  • Don’t let the last 2 games fool you- the Titans are only a decent team, and not very good on the road
  • Home Colts win by a score

Image result for colts titans

Bucs (+1.5) at Giants

  • Don’t let last week fool you- the Giants still stink
  • Last week was bad, but the Bucs still have a much more explosive offense than the Giants
  • Giants aren’t putting 2 in a row together, Bucs win on the road

Image result for bucs giants

Raiders at Cardinals (-5.5)

  • Raiders have become hopeless in any matchup
  • Cardinals have played some competitive games of late
  • Not a blowout, but Cardinals win comfortably by a TD

Image result for raiders cardinals

Broncos (+7) at Chargers

  • Broncos coming off bye and will likely have “home field advantage” in LA
  • Broncos have lost 3 of 4, but all 3 were by 7 or less
  • Chargers are the much better team though and will win, but by less than a TD

Image result for chargers broncos

Eagles (+8.5) at Saints

  • Despite their 4-5 record, the Eagles have been underdogs just once- by 1 point to the Falcons, and they were favored in that one til the last minute
  • We all know the Eagles love the underdog mentality and will come out strong against the team trying to take their throne this year
  • But the Saints are too good this year and will win by a TD with the Eagles covering

Image result for eagles saints

Vikings at Bears (-3)

  • The Bears are for real- they are 6-3, and should’ve beaten the Packers and Dolphins
  • Kirk Cousins is good, but never wins on the big stage
  • Bears show they’re the team to beat in the North and win by a score

Image result for bears vikings

Chiefs at Rams (-3.5)

  • Patrick Mahomes is the the NFL’s new star QB, but Sean McVay is the NFL’s new mastermind
  • Rams are 1-5-1 in last 7 ATS, they’re due to cover again soon
  • Public absolutely hammering KC (85% as of Thursday night), give me the Rams by a score

Image result for rams chiefs

Be back for Week 12. Who wins in #MexicoCityGate?

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